How the Cowboys offense can help the defense get more turnovers

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This year the turnover story is a fairly simple one for the Cowboys. Through four games Dallas Cowboys Hoodie , the Cowboys are the only team in the league without an interception, and their two takeaways (both fumble recoveries) in four games rank them dead last in the league.You don’t need an advanced degree in statistics to intuitively understand that teams that are able to gain a turnover advantage are more likely to win games.Turnover differential is (obviously) the keyTurnover differential is a stat that is highly correlated with winning in the NFL. The bigger the turnover differential in your favor, the bigger the chance you’ll win the game. Heck, we even have the numbers to prove it: In 2017, teams that won the turnover battle won 79 percent of the time (154 wins out of 195 games). Here’s a breakdown of winning percentages by turnover differential: Unfortunately, knowing about the importance of turnovers and actually getting turnovers are two very different things, in part also because of the inherent randomness of turnovers. In practice, the Cowboys are doing their due diligence by practicing and emphasizing things like ball control, fumble recoveries, and ball stripping, all in the hopes of increasing their odds of getting a turnover.But outside of those specific drills Customized Dallas Cowboys Jerseys , there may be a much bigger factor in determining the number of defensive takeaways, and specifically interceptions: the Cowboys’ offense.The Cowboys offense can significantly help the defense’s turnover chancesAt first glance, this may seem like an odd statement, but it will make a lot more sense when you look at when the majority of interceptions are thrown: Only 21% of the 430 interceptions thrown last year in the regular season happened when the offense was playing with a lead. 62% of all interceptions occurred when the offense was playing from behind. Most interceptions happen when you’re not playing with a lead.Here’s a detailed breakdown of the interceptions thrown last year, listed by the score differential at the time when the interceptions were thrown. Last year, like every year before that, teams threw a lot more interceptions when they were playing from behind than they did when playing with a lead. And when you stop to think about it, the numbers make sense. Once you’re playing from behind you start taking more risks in your passing game in an effort to catch up.It’s all about being on the right side of the leadNot only do teams playing from behind throw the ball a lot more often than the teams playing with a lead, they also have those passes intercepted more often. Similarly, a team playing with a lead will generally find it easier to record interceptions on defense.The stats bear this out. The interception rate (Interceptions divided by passing attempts) increases the further a team is behind; conversely, when playing with a lead teams tend to take fewer risks in the passing game www.authenticsdallascowboys.com , which in turn leads to fewer mistakes and turnovers. For the Cowboys, scoring more and earlier will put their opponents in the situation described above, where they have to lean on the pass and take greater risks in order to try catch up. This in turn will allow the defense to make more plays. As the opposing offenses are forced to go to the pass, the defense can sit back in its nickel and dime formations and simply wait for the opposing offenses to make mistakes.And as long as the Cowboys don’t play some form of weird prevent defense, the interceptions will eventually come.FanPulse: Cowboys fans are “somewhat confident” in team direction, think Week 1 victory is upon us Welcome to SB Nation FanPulse, a survey of fans across the NFL powered by SurveyMonkey. Each week, we send 32 polls to 100+ plugged in fans from each team. Cowboys fans, sign up HERE to join FanPulse.Will the Cowboys win or lose in Week 1?A lot has happened over the course of the offseason for the Cowboys, but there still remains an obvious sense of optimism. We’re talking about a team that is 22-10 over the last two seasons and while that’s obviously inflated by the 2016 season so is the Cowboys identity. Ezekiel Elliott is back for a full season and that means it’s time to feed him. A less-talented defense benefited from that greatly two years ago, and entering this season that side of the ball has strengthened dramatically. Dallas has the roster to compete and win comfortably if everything breaks right Dallas Cowboys T-Shirt , so six points feels fair.How confident are you in the direction of the team?Very confident: 22 percentSomewhat confident: 62 percentMeh: 5 percentNot very confident: 9 percentNot confident at all: 1 percentConfidence in the Cowboys typically revolves around the players themselves; it’s hard to trust anything beyond that as these results show. Ask any general fan and they’ll hit you with the “Jerry Jones needs to get out of the way” trope, but those paying attention know things have been different for quite some time.The collective brain-trust of Stephen Jones, Jason Garrett, Will McClay, and yes, Jerry himself, have certainly earned the right to be trusted, but they’ve also done some suspect things. Releasing Dez Bryant and Dan Bailey are some of the bigger decisions they’ve made since the team last took the field, how the Cowboys perform now will move the needle in one direction or the other.What is the worst NFL rule?Think about this for a second. The helmet rule is actually so bad that the overwhelming majority of football fans everywhere think it’s atrocious. As Cowboys fans we might be a bit partial to the catch rule being the worst one to ever exist, but the helmet rule isn’t far behind. Hopefully the big deal of it was just for the preseason because if it ripples over into the regular season (WHICH WE ARE NOW AT!) things could get annoying fast.